A RAM SHIP-TO-SHIP COLLISION WHEN TRANSITING SUEZ CANAL

A ship-to-ship collision probability in transiting Suez Canal has been studied using the theoretical safety approach and an analytical model is revealed. The model adapts a collision scenario between the considered RAM-ship (the ship canying radioactive material) and the colliding ship. The model estimates the probability of occurring an accident due to a collision between a RAM-ship or even a nuclear vessel with another colliding ship during its transit in Suez Canal. The model takes into consideration that the total probability of collision is the product of the collision probability by the conditional probability such that only one collision by one of the surrounding ships collides with the RAM-ship. The results are presented in a set of curves giving the estimated probability of collision for the considered nuclear vessel or a vessel canying radioactive material with the other colliding ship versus the ships velocities. Moreover, the domain radius of the accident location around the considered nuclear vessel and the ship track angles are taken into considerations in the analysis and set as input variables. In the conclusions and discussions, recommendations to increase navigation safety in the future time of the Suez Canal have been detennined.