NDA in the IAEA Safeguards During the Next Five Years: an Outline of Two Possible Development and Implementation Scenarios

After a brief introduction about the role of NDA in the Agency Safeguards, two different scenarios are described. These show how the utilization and the usefulness of NDA can develop if the lowest and highest expectable priority, respectively, will be given to this sub- -area of safeguards. For each case, an outline is given of what would be required from instrument development, computerization, acquisition of reference materials, standardization, inspector efforts, training and data collection and evaluation in order to achieve the described level of implementation. This paper is an extrapolation of four years' experience of NDA cooperation between the operational divisions and the supporting divisions and units. A couple of practically encountered cases of NDA data collection and evaluation are mentioned as examples supporting the conclusions about the future.