AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO VALIDATION OF SAFEGUARDS AND SECURITY PROGRAM PERFORMANCE

(DOE) requirements for safeguards and security programs are becoming increasingly performance oriented. Master Safeguards and Security Agreements specify performance levels for systems protecting DOE security interests. In order to measure and validate security system performance, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has developed cost effective validation tools and a comprehensive validation approach that synthesizes information gained from different activities such as force on force exercises, limited scope performance tests, equipment testing, vulnerability analyses, and computer modeling; into an overall assessment of the performance of the protection system. The analytic approach employs logic diagrams adapted from the fault and event trees used in probabilistic risk assessment. The synthesis of the results from the various validation activities is accomplished using a method developed by LLNL, based upon Bayes' theorem.