NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION AND DISARMAMENT - THE NEXT TEN YEARS

At the outset of my remarks this morning, I would like to emphasize that my subject - NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION AND DISARMAMENT - is one, and not two separate subjects. Although I will first be discussing some aspects of the Non-Proliferation Treaty, I will try to relate the Treaty to the question of future prospects for disarmament - or, perhaps more accurately, \"arms control.\" The Non-Proliferation Treaty, or NPT, to make a smaller mouthful for me, was negotiated over the course of several years in a number of interna- tional forums, and with extensive and intensive consultation among many governments. The Treaty, as it finally emerged, reflects that history. The NPT is designed to achieve four objectives, as described to the U.S. Senate by Secretary of State Dean Rusk: \"Commit the nations of the world which do not now have nuclear weapons, not to produce or receive them in the future; assure equally that such nations have the full peaceful bene- fits of the atom; provide assurance, through international safeguards, that the peaceful nuclear activities of states which have not already developed nuclear weapons will not be diverted to making such weapons; and give recognition to the determination of the parties that the Treaty should lead to further progress toward arms control and disarmament.\" I wish to point out, before going further, that it was only possible to design provisions in the NPT for international safeguards because of the many years of pioneering effort in safeguards in which many of this audience and the Institute of Nuclear Materials Management itself have played such an important role.