Assessing the Feasibility and Risks of Small Modular Reactor Deployment in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Geopolitical and Security Analysis

Year
2025
Author(s)
Simon Adu - Nuclear Regulatory Authority
S. A. Birinkorang - Texas A&M University
Zavier Ndum Ndum - Department of Nuclear Engineering, Texas A&M University
Craig Marianno - Texas A&M University
M. Yim - Texas A&M University
Abstract
This study investigates the security implications of deploying Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) in Sub-Saharan Africa, focusing on the risks posed by non-state actors, particularly terrorist groups. Given the increasing interest in nuclear energy as a sustainable solution for energy security and economic development in the region, it is crucial to assess the potential risk associated with SMR technology deployment in the region. The research employs a mixed-methods approach, combining literature review, data analysis, and probabilistic risk assessment to evaluate the likelihood of an attack on nuclear installations by terrorist organizations. This study provides a preliminary analysis of the nuclear security risks associated with SMRs in Sub-Saharan Africa. Future research will examine additional parameters to comprehensively assess each country's nuclear security risks.