The ASSESS Neutralization Analysis Module

The ASSESS Neutralization Analysis module (Neutralization) is part of Analytic System and Software for Evaluation of Safeguards and Security, ASSESS, a vulnerability assessment tool. Neutralization models a fire fight engagement between security inspectors (Sis) and adversaries. Results are based on probability of neutralization, P(N), which estimates the likelihood that Sis will win, given that Sis interrupt the attackers and begin an armed engagement. The calculating engine of the module is the Brief Adversary Threat Loss Estimator, BATLE. Engagements can have as many as 30 combatants on a side. Reinforcements may be introduced or combatant characteristics may be changed as many as ten times in one engagement. Inputs may be made with or without programmed guidance to the user. Seven different Combatant characteristics, which come from a modifiable library, can be independently specified for each combatant. Graphs of time distributions and studies of the sensitivity of P(N) to any combatant characteristic of either Sis or adversaries can be requested. Output files from Neutralization are used by Outsider Analysis to produce probability of security system win.