AN APPROACH TO THE EVALUATION OF SAFEGUARDS SYSTEMS EFFECTIVENESS

Year
1976
Author(s)
H. Kendrick - Science Applications, Inc.
E. Lofgren - Science Applications, Inc.
R. Fullwood - Science Applications, Inc.
Abstract
A methodology approach is described which can be employed in safeguards systems effectiveness considerations. Adversary action sequences are delineated by the use of event tree/fault tree techniques. Two variations in the use of this type of graphic bookkeeping are presented. Identified adversary action sequences are quantified by a system simulation model. A Monte Carlo computer code has been written to evaluate the time distribution or probability as a function of time of the adversary action sequences.