A SYSTEMS FRAMEWORK FOR NONPROLIFERATION RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT

Year
1995
Author(s)
Chad T. Olinger - Los Alamos National Laboratory
Susan Voss - Los Alamos National Laboratory
Abstract
International safeguards and nonproliferation regimes are in a state of rapid flux. Changes in the scope of nonproliferation activities over the next few years will probably bring an overall larger fraction of the world's nuclear material under some form of international inspection. Without a commensurate increase in resources, the unintended net effect could be to reduce the overall effectiveness of international safeguards. One possible solution is to increase fiscal resources, but this may be unrealistic considering the current political climate. Alternatively, technological advances and hard political decisions can help to increase the effectiveness of nonproliferation resources. This study evaluates the many nonproliferation drivers to determine how to be proactive in a changing political environment.